Question
Will the FDA authorise the use of remdesivir to treat COVID-19 by the end of 2020?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters75
Community Prediction
60%
(55% - 70%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Mar 3, 2020
Closes:Jul 1, 2020
Resolved:Mar 22, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 4, 2020
Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?
54%
In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?
Mar 2032
When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?
20 Jul 2026
Authors:
Opened:Mar 3, 2020
Closes:Jul 1, 2020
Resolved:Mar 22, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 4, 2020
Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?
54%
In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?
Mar 2032
When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?
20 Jul 2026