81 forecasters

Will the 2020 Eurovision Song Contest be cancelled due to COVID-19?

85%chance

85%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 85% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 28, 2020

Closes:

May 9, 2020

Resolved:

Mar 18, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 29, 2020

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Health & Pandemics

2020 Leaderboard

Netherlands Threatens to Boycott Eurovision if Israel Participates

Breitbart•Sep 13, 2025

Netherlands threatens to boycott Eurovision 2026 if Israel participates

Al Jazeera•Sep 13, 2025

Netherlands threatens Eurovision boycott if Israel also participates

Independent•Sep 12, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch