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    Will the 2020 Eurovision Song Contest be cancelled due to COVID-19?

    Created by Tamay on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}.
    Community prediction hidden until {{qctrl.question.cp_hidden_period_ends_time | dateStr}}
    Published by Tamay on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}.
    Cross-posted on Metaculus: Pandemics.

    Question

    The Eurovision Song Contest 2020 will be the 65th edition of the Eurovision Song Contest. The contest will take place in Rotterdam, Netherlands. Its three events take place at the following dates:

    • Semi-final 1 12 May
    • Semi-final 2 14 May
    • Final 16 May

    Will the 2020 Eurovision Song Contest be cancelled due to COVID-19?

    The question resolves negative if the Eurovision takes place on the originally scheduled location, Rotterdam Ahoy, and the scheduled dates. If any of the events are cancelled, their dates are moved, or the venue is moved away from Rotterdam, and a stated reason for the change is COVID-19 (as judged by Metaculus), it resolves positive.

    Clarification added 7th of March, 2020

    This question resolves negatively if the event takes place on the originally scheduled location, Rotterdam Ahoy, and the scheduled dates, with or without a live audience.

    This question resolves ambiguously if the conference moves to a different venue within Rotterdam (and a stated reason for the change is COVID-19), provided that the other conditions for negative resolution are not satisfied.

    Categories:
    Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19)

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