116 comments
127 forecasters
What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?
Top Key Factors
Authors:
Opened:Jun 23, 2025
Closes:Aug 23, 2025
Resolved:Sep 16, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 28, 2025
Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?
8
(4 - 12)
8
(4 - 12)
15 forecasters
Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?
95% chance
82
What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?
48.4%
(23.6 - 80.9)
48.4%
(23.6 - 80.9)
40 forecasters