Question

Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters150
Community Prediction
5%
(3% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
19.5
Community Baseline Score
53.0
Authors:
Opened:May 19, 2025
Closes:Jul 19, 2025
Resolves:Aug 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 22, 2025