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18 forecasters
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the Continental Europe synchronous grid affecting multiple countries before 2028?
42%chance
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Opened:May 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 14, 2025
Will a cyberattack targeting AI systems cause a significant power blackout in the United States before 2028?
9% chance
37
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10% chance
60
Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?
7% chance
44