38 comments
106 forecasters
Will EA Global San Francisco be cancelled or rescheduled due to COVID-19?
85%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 85% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 28, 2020
Closes:Mar 5, 2020
Resolved:Mar 5, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 29, 2020
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79% chance
90
How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?
3719 people
(2197 - 6541)
3719 people
(2197 - 6541)
26 forecasters
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to animal welfare?
12%
(7.17 - 18.3)
12%
(7.17 - 18.3)
18 forecasters