Question

Will the Project 2025 Tracker spreadsheet have the objective of stopping funding for NPR and PBS marked as complete before July 1, 2025?

Resolved:No

86 comments86

Total Forecasters79

Community Prediction

25%

(18% - 53.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

16.2

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

May 16, 2025

Closes:

May 16, 2025

Resolves:

Jul 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 16, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will Congress cut funds to NPR/PBS and foreign aid this week?

•Jul 16, 2025

Will Congress cut funds to NPR/PBS and foreign aid this week?

•Jul 16, 2025

What will happen to PBS and NPR stations if the Senate votes to claw back funding?

CNN•Jul 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?

91%

Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?

34%

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

70%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

May 16, 2025

Closes:

May 16, 2025

Resolves:

Jul 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 16, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will Congress cut funds to NPR/PBS and foreign aid this week?

•Jul 16, 2025

Will Congress cut funds to NPR/PBS and foreign aid this week?

•Jul 16, 2025

What will happen to PBS and NPR stations if the Senate votes to claw back funding?

CNN•Jul 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?

91%

Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?

34%

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

70%