Question

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction

55%

(40% - 60%)

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50%

community: 55%

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Authors:

pashka24

Opened:

May 19, 2025

Closes:

Jan 19, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 21, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 19, 2029

Law

Politics

Trump Admin’s Effort To Detect Noncitizen Voters Already Appears To Be Yielding Fruit

Daily Caller•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

15%

Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?

25%

When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill?

Authors:

pashka24

Opened:

May 19, 2025

Closes:

Jan 19, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 21, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 19, 2029

Law

Politics

Trump Admin’s Effort To Detect Noncitizen Voters Already Appears To Be Yielding Fruit

Daily Caller•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

15%

Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?

25%