Question

What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the cap for the state and local tax deduction (SALT) for married couples filing jointly in tax year 2026?

Resolved:40.4k $
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
43.5k $
(38k $ - 51.5k $)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%38.03k $
median43.45k $
upper 75%51.55k $
Upper bound
>100k $13.8%

What was the final result?40.4k $

Community Peer Score
29.5
Community Baseline Score
23.3
Opened:May 19, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Resolves:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 23, 2025