Question

[Short fuse] Will Michael Bloomberg drop out before the March 13th?

Resolved:Yes

18 comments18

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction

67%

(60% - 78%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 67%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

4.3

Community Peer Score

1.3

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Mar 3, 2020

Closes:

Mar 11, 2020

Resolves:

Mar 11, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 3, 2020

Elections

2020 Leaderboard

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

80%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Mar 3, 2020

Closes:

Mar 11, 2020

Resolves:

Mar 11, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 3, 2020

Elections

2020 Leaderboard

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

80%