Question
When will the total international (outside mainland China) cases of COVID-19 exceed the total cases within mainland China?
Resolved:15 Mar 2020 18:57Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction
16 Mar 2020 00:11
(14 Mar 2020 09:47 - 17 Mar 2020 15:40)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 14 Mar 2020 09:47 | — |
| median | 16 Mar 2020 00:11 | — |
| upper 75% | 17 Mar 2020 15:40 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >09 May 2020 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?15 Mar 2020 18:57
Community Baseline Score
67.2
Community Peer Score
39.4
Authors:
Opened:Mar 9, 2020
Closes:Mar 14, 2020
Resolves:Mar 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 9, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 9, 2020
Closes:Mar 14, 2020
Resolves:Mar 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 9, 2020