9 forecasters

Will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce the taxation of Social Security income in tax year 2026?

25%chance

25%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 25% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 24, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Resolved:

Jul 4, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 28, 2025

Forecasting the Big Beautiful Bill

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