Question

Will the 2025 reconciliation bill make any car loan interest deductable in tax year 2026?

Resolved:Yes

1 comment1

Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction

70%

(55% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

2.2

Authors:

dylan.matthews

Opened:

May 24, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 1, 2025

Forecasting the Big Beautiful Bill

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

What Will The Tax Provisions Of The Big Budget Bill Really Do?

Forbes•Jul 11, 2025

Here’s who will — and won’t — qualify for the new car loan interest deduction

CNN•Jul 9, 2025

Key Tax Changes in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

•Jul 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the percent deduction allowed for qualified business income (QBI) in tax year 2026?

29.8

Will a new bill amending the climate provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act become law in 2025?

90%

How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce spending on energy and environmental tax credits from the Inflation Reduction Act?

607B

Authors:

dylan.matthews

Opened:

May 24, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 1, 2025

Forecasting the Big Beautiful Bill

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

What Will The Tax Provisions Of The Big Budget Bill Really Do?

Forbes•Jul 11, 2025

Here’s who will — and won’t — qualify for the new car loan interest deduction

CNN•Jul 9, 2025

Key Tax Changes in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

•Jul 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the percent deduction allowed for qualified business income (QBI) in tax year 2026?

29.8

Will a new bill amending the climate provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act become law in 2025?

90%

How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce spending on energy and environmental tax credits from the Inflation Reduction Act?

607B