Question

What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the top marginal tax rate for ordinary income in tax year 2026?

Resolved:37%
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
37%
(36.8% - 37.3%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<30%0.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%36.81%
median37.04%
upper 75%37.32%
Upper bound
>45%10.3%

What was the final result?37%

Community Peer Score
21.4
Opened:May 24, 2025
Closes:Oct 1, 2025
Resolves:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025