Question

Will Harvard University have a Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification on July 1, 2025?

Resolved:Annulled

18 comments18

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction

77%

(70% - 88%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 77%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

May 26, 2025

Closes:

Jun 23, 2025

Resolves:

Jul 2, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 28, 2025

Metaculus Cup

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

The U.S.’s Global Standing In Higher Education Is Slipping—Can It Recover?

Forbes•Aug 30, 2025

Trump Deals A New Immigration Blow To International Students

Forbes•Aug 28, 2025

Trump Admin Plans New Time Limit for Foreign Students in US

Newsweek•Aug 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025?

0.4%

Will international enrolled graduate students in the US see a greater percentage decrease (or smaller increase) in Trump's first year compared to undergraduates?

33%

Will computer science and engineering see a greater percentage decrease (or smaller increase) in the number of enrolled international students in Trump's first year compared to other fields?

70%