Question
What will be the margin of victory in the June 2025 Democratic primary for NYC mayor?
Resolved:12.4 Percentage pointsTotal Forecasters50
Community Prediction
11.2 Percentage points
(5.99 Percentage points - 18.7 Percentage points)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 5.994 | — |
| median | 11.2 | — |
| upper 75% | 18.66 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >40 | 5.1% | — |
What was the final result?12.4 Percentage points
Community Peer Score
15.6
Authors:
Opened:May 28, 2025
Closes:May 28, 2025
Resolves:Jun 25, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 28, 2025
Include Bots:Yes
Authors:
Opened:May 28, 2025
Closes:May 28, 2025
Resolves:Jun 25, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 28, 2025
Include Bots:Yes
