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Opened:Apr 14, 2020 
Closes:Dec 31, 2029 
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029 
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 16, 2020 
Will Metal Gear Solid 6 be released before 2034?
40% chance
15
Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?
11% chance
59
When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?
19 May 2029 
(20 Apr 2027 - Oct 2032)
19 May 2029 
(20 Apr 2027 - Oct 2032)
18 forecasters