• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
30 comments
10 forecasters

Will Harvard University have a Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification on July 1, 2025?

60%chance
60%chance
ResolvedYes
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 60% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
BenWilson
Opened:May 26, 2025
Closes:May 28, 2025
Resolved:Jul 2, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 28, 2025
Include Bots:Yes
Pro Forecasters - AI Forecasting Benchmark Q2 2025
New York Times logo
Nearly 20 Percent Fewer International Students Traveled to the U.S. in August
New York Times•Oct 6, 2025
Al Jazeera logo
What are Trump’s new rules for universities to qualify for federal funding?
Al Jazeera•Oct 3, 2025
NBC logo
Trump administration offers funding benefits to schools that agree to its agenda
NBC•Oct 3, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will international enrolled graduate students in the US see a greater percentage decrease (or smaller increase) in Trump's first year compared to undergraduates?

35% chance
9

Will computer science and engineering see a greater percentage decrease (or smaller increase) in the number of enrolled international students in Trump's first year compared to other fields?

66% chance
14

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

67% chance
108
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature