12 comments
116 forecasters
Will there be a US government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election?
85%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 85% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 1, 2025
Closes:Nov 7, 2028
Resolved:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025
Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025?
51% chance
13
When will Donald Trump sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill averting or ending a government shutdown?
15 Oct 2025
(11 Oct 2025 - 19 Oct 2025)
15 Oct 2025
(11 Oct 2025 - 19 Oct 2025)
20 forecasters
Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?
10% chance
153