Question
When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?
Total Forecasters165
Community Prediction
Jan 2053
(Jul 2036 - 2143)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2021 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Jul 2036 | — |
| median | Jan 2053 | — |
| upper 75% | 2143 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2250 | 17.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2250
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2250
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2250
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2250
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2020