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6 comments
24 forecasters

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

56%chance
Authors:
dougiebuckets
Opened:Jun 3, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 7, 2025
Adjacent
Nuclear Technology & Risks
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Google teams up with energy giant to revive a long-shuttered nuclear plant
FOX News•Oct 27, 2025
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The SMR Surge: Nuclear’s Quiet Comeback Is Now A Commercial Race
Forbes•Oct 26, 2025
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Energy Secretary Chris Wright Proposes Changes to Power American Manufacturing, Lead AI Innovation
Breitbart•Oct 25, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Puerto Rico's industrial sector be powered primarily by New Nuclear before 2040?

25% chance
10

By 2035, how many new gigawatts of nuclear power will enter operation in the United States, as verified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, new state regulators, or other definitive sources?

14.7 GW
(12.5 - 16.3)
14.7 GW
(12.5 - 16.3)
8 forecasters

Will Helion deliver ≥50 MW to Microsoft under their fusion PPA before January 1, 2030?

15% chance
4
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