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104 forecasters
Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?
35%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 1, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 21, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 5, 2025