114 forecasters

Will a US federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a Supreme Court ruling, before January 20, 2029?

51%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Jun 1, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 21, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 5, 2025

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