102 forecasters

Will the DOJ officially remove the requirement for U.S. attorneys to consult with the Public Integrity Section before prosecuting lawmakers before November 4, 2026?

61%chance

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Jun 1, 2025

Closes:

Nov 4, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 5, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 5, 2025

POTUS Predictions

BLW POTUS Questions

Experts fear impact of deepening polarization and perceived political prosecutions

NBC•Oct 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

Will presidential impoundment authority be expanded by the Supreme Court or by law before November 3, 2026?

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?