Question

Will China experience a 4th month in a row of deflation in its May CPI report?

Resolved:Yes

87 comments87

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction

73.8%

(65% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 73.8%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

8.6

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 2, 2025

Closes:

Jun 2, 2025

Resolves:

Jun 30, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 2, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2025 Leaderboard

What To Expect From June’s CPI Inflation Report

Forbes•Jun 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?

50%

Will the US-China Tension index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

66%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 2, 2025

Closes:

Jun 2, 2025

Resolves:

Jun 30, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 2, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2025 Leaderboard

What To Expect From June’s CPI Inflation Report

Forbes•Jun 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?

50%

Will the US-China Tension index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

66%