Question

Will Jerrauld "Jay" Jones win the Democratic primary for attorney general of Virginia in the 2025 election?

Resolved:Yes

86 comments86

Total Forecasters81

Community Prediction

62.5%

(55% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 62.5%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

29.9

Community Peer Score

1.4

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 3, 2025

Closes:

Jun 3, 2025

Resolves:

Jun 18, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 3, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Jay Jones projected to win Democratic nomination for Virginia attorney general

•Jun 18, 2025

Jay Jones wins Virginia Democratic primary for Attorney General

•Jun 18, 2025

Virginia primary results: Jay Jones wins Democratic nomination for Virginia attorney general

•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

90%

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

40%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 3, 2025

Closes:

Jun 3, 2025

Resolves:

Jun 18, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 3, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Jay Jones projected to win Democratic nomination for Virginia attorney general

•Jun 18, 2025

Jay Jones wins Virginia Democratic primary for Attorney General

•Jun 18, 2025

Virginia primary results: Jay Jones wins Democratic nomination for Virginia attorney general

•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

90%

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

40%