13 comments
73 forecasters
How many infections of COVID-19 will be estimated to have occurred before 2021? [1-8B range]
Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2020
Closes:Mar 28, 2020
Resolved:Jan 17, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2020
By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?
3% chance
54
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
36k deaths
(24.4k - 101k)
36k deaths
(24.4k - 101k)
74 forecasters
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
733 cases
(336 - 1465)
733 cases
(336 - 1465)
25 forecasters