Question

What will the highest percentage of overall compute capacity held by a single organisation be on January 1, 2028?

Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
25.9%
(19.5% - 34.2%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<5%3.3%
Quartiles
lower 25%19.54%
median25.94%
upper 75%34.19%
Upper bound
>75%0.5%
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2028