Question

What will the highest percentage of overall compute capacity held by a single organisation be on January 1, 2028?

Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
22.3%
(16.9% - 29.5%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<5%3.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%16.87%
median22.33%
upper 75%29.52%
Upper bound
>75%0.3%
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2028