1 comment
17 forecasters
Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 3, 2025
Closes:Jul 15, 2025
Resolved:Jul 18, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 3, 2025
Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election?
45
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?
139 forecasters
Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?
7% chance
63