Question
What percentage of AI computational performance will be located in the United States on January 1, 2028?
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction
62.8%
(54.1% - 72.8%)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30% | 2.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 54.07% | — |
| median | 62.83% | — |
| upper 75% | 72.76% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2027
Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2027
