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12
128
forecasters
4
12 comments
128 forecasters
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
2 more...
Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?
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China
result:
Yes
Germany
11.1%
Italy
8.4%
United States
8.1%
3 others
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14 comments
800 forecasters
New country winner of the 2026 World Cup?
14%
chance
0 comments
15 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
France
20.1%
Spain
19.7%
Brazil
12.4%
England
10.7%
5 others
2 comments
17 forecasters
Will the 2026 ICPC World Finals be held in China?
18%
chance
1 comment
84 forecasters
Tour de France 2026 Winner?
Tadej Pogačar
50.9%
Jonas Vingegaard
26.5%
Remco Evenepoel
8.2%
Other
5.1%
3 others
0 comments
17 forecasters
How many teams will compete in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
29 or Fewer
0.1%
30 to 39
0.5%
40 to 49
57.8%
50 to 59
7.1%
60 or More
34.5%
5 comments
78 forecasters
What percentage of AI computational performance in the US on Jan 1, 2028?
Current estimate
62.8%
8 comments
21 forecasters
Date of Next Great Power War?
Current estimate
Nov 2048
5 comments
7 forecasters
Rankings in the 2026 IMO?
China
3.37
United States of America
3.61
Republic of Korea
4.5
Japan
12.1
106 others