Question

Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?

Resolved:No
6
5
Total Forecasters144
Community Prediction
0.6%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.6%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
15.6
Community Baseline Score
89.8
Authors:
ADQ
Opened:Jun 30, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Resolves:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 7, 2025
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