Question

How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025?

Resolved:4.142M acres
Total Forecasters143
Community Prediction
4.2M acres
(4.1M acres - 4.34M acres)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<2M0.4%
Quartiles
lower 25%4.102M
median4.2M
upper 75%4.337M
Upper bound
>9M0.2%

What was the final result?4.142M acres

Community Peer Score
23.9
Community Baseline Score
40.8
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Resolves:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 13, 2025