157 forecasters

Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 9, 2025

Closes:

Aug 6, 2025

Resolved:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 11, 2025

Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

🏆 2025 Leaderboard

The Top Secrets Elon Musk May Have Had Access To: Legal Experts

Newsweek•Oct 13, 2025

Elon Musk predicted to become world's first trillionaire before 2030

FOX News•Oct 9, 2025

Top secrets of Elon Musk's DOGE to be released after judge rules his list of security clearance will be made public

Daily Mail•Oct 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch