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    Will at least 100,000 COVID-19 deaths be reported in any single calendar month in 2020?

    Created by Jgalt on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Published by Jgalt {{"onDate" | translate:({date: (qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr)})}}
    Cross-posted on Metaculus: Pandemics.

    Question

    Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), formerly known as 2019-nCoV acute respiratory disease, is an infectious disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, a virus closely related to the SARS virus. The disease is the cause of the ongoing 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic.

    As of 13 March 2020, over 137,000 cases and over 5,000 deaths have been reported, mostly in China.

    This question asks: Within any single calendar month in 2020, will at least 100,000 COVID-19 deaths, worldwide, be reported?

    This question resolves as the number reported by:

    • The Johns Hopkins CSSE dashboard, or, if that source is no longer available or no longer considered reliable,
    • the WHO situation reports, or another source judged credible by Metaculus administrators
    Categories:
    Biology – Infectious Disease
    Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19)

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