27 comments
140 forecasters
Will at least 100,000 COVID-19 deaths be reported in any single calendar month in 2020?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2020
Closes:Dec 1, 2020
Resolved:Apr 17, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2020
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
74.3k deaths
(27.8k - 219k)
74.3k deaths
(27.8k - 219k)
39 forecasters
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
55 forecasters
What will be the maximum global single-year death toll attributable to a single pandemic between 2022 to 2121?
38.2M deaths
(11.8M - 100M)
38.2M deaths
(11.8M - 100M)
22 forecasters