10 forecasters

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor?

75%chance

75%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 75% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 7, 2025

Closes:

Jun 9, 2025

Resolved:

Jun 25, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 9, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Pro Forecasters - AI Forecasting Benchmark Q2 2025

Zohran Mamdani maintains big lead in New York mayor’s race, new poll finds

Guardian•Sep 10, 2025

Zohran Mamdani holds 15-point lead over Andrew Cuomo in four-way race for NYC mayor: poll

New York Post•Sep 10, 2025

Zohran Mamdani's Chances Against Andrew Cuomo Plummet in Two-Way Fight

Newsweek•Sep 10, 2025

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