14 comments
155 forecasters
Will at least 1 million COVID-19 deaths be reported in any single calendar month in 2020?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 1, 2020
Closes:Dec 1, 2020
Resolved:Dec 31, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 2, 2020
Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?
39% chance
31
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
78.8k deaths
(29.3k - 239k)
78.8k deaths
(29.3k - 239k)
39 forecasters
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
55 forecasters