Question

Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters122

Community Prediction

1.5%

(1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1.5%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 16, 2025

Closes:

Aug 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 31, 2025

Uganda court denies bail to opposition leader Kizza Besigye in treason case

Al Jazeera•Aug 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?

20%

Will Barack Obama be arrested before July 2026?

Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted of any crime by the International Criminal Court by 2030?

85%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 16, 2025

Closes:

Aug 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 31, 2025

Uganda court denies bail to opposition leader Kizza Besigye in treason case

Al Jazeera•Aug 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?

20%

Will Barack Obama be arrested before July 2026?

Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted of any crime by the International Criminal Court by 2030?

85%