Question

What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?

Resolved:Above upper bound
Total Forecasters92
Community Prediction
6.9 M
(6.7 M - 7.2 M)

Make a Prediction

PMF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<6 M0.7%
Quartiles
lower 25%6.7 M
median6.9 M
upper 75%7.2 M
Upper bound
>8 M1.1%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Peer Score
41.8
Community Baseline Score
-42.9
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2025
Closes:Jul 15, 2025
Resolves:Aug 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 13, 2025