Question
What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters92
Community Prediction
6.9 M
(6.7 M - 7.2 M)
Make a Prediction
PMF
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<6 M | 0.7% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 6.7 M | — |
median | 6.9 M | — |
upper 75% | 7.2 M | — |
Upper bound | ||
>8 M | 1.1% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Peer Score
41.8
Community Baseline Score
-42.9
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2025
Closes:Jul 15, 2025
Resolves:Aug 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 13, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2025
Closes:Jul 15, 2025
Resolves:Aug 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 13, 2025