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131 forecasters
Will the US government take control of any US AI company or project before 2029?
20%chance
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Opened:Jun 11, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 15, 2025
Will the United States government have formal veto power on the deployment of frontier AI before 2028?
10% chance
128
Will the US government mandate security clearance from the employees that lead the research and development of the top models at OpenAI, Deepmind, or Anthropic before 2028?
36% chance
134
Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?
35% chance
111