Question
When will a vaccine targeted at the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) be administered to at least 10M people?
Resolved:30 Jan 2021Total Forecasters138
Community Prediction
08 Sep 2021
(06 Mar 2021 - 05 Jun 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 06 Mar 2021 | — |
| median | 08 Sep 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | 05 Jun 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Mar 2027 | 4.3% | — |
What was the final result?30 Jan 2021
Community Baseline Score
53.7
Community Peer Score
12.8
Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2020
Closes:May 5, 2020
Resolves:Jun 28, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 17, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2020
Closes:May 5, 2020
Resolves:Jun 28, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 17, 2020