Question
When will a vaccine targeted at the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) be administered to at least 10M people?
Resolved :Jan 2021Total Forecasters138
Community Prediction
Sep 2021
(Mar 2021 - Jun 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Mar 2021 | — |
| median | Sep 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | Jun 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >180498240000% | 4.3% | — |
What was the final result?Jan 2021
Community Baseline Score
53.7
Community Peer Score
12.8
Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2020
Closes:May 5, 2020
Resolves:Jun 28, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 17, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2020
Closes:May 5, 2020
Resolves:Jun 28, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 17, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch