4 comments
15 forecasters
Will Israel carry out attacks within Iran resulting in at least 50 deaths before August 2025?
94%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 94% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2025
Closes:Aug 1, 2025
Resolved:Jun 13, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 12, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch