Question
How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?
Resolved:5 fatalitiesTotal Forecasters73
Community Prediction
4 fatalities
(3 fatalities - 7 fatalities)
Make a Prediction
PMF
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 3 | — |
| median | 4 | — |
| upper 75% | 7 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >35 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?5 fatalities
Community Peer Score
11.1
Authors:
Opened:Jun 14, 2025
Closes:Jul 5, 2025
Resolves:Jul 14, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 5, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jun 14, 2025
Closes:Jul 5, 2025
Resolves:Jul 14, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 5, 2025