Question

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction
72%
(55% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 72%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
6.8
Community Peer Score
0.8
Opened:Jun 16, 2025
Closes:Aug 1, 2025
Resolves:Aug 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 1, 2025