15 comments
131 forecasters
Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?
1.8%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 23, 2025
Closes:Aug 15, 2025
Resolved:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 30, 2025
When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
Sep 2041
(Sep 2031 - Sep 2052)
Sep 2041
(Sep 2031 - Sep 2052)
31 forecasters
Will one UN member state recognize Kurdistan before 2036?
12% chance
10
Will the Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order become an independent, recognised country before 2035?
50% chance
9