Question

Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
89%
(83% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 89%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
1.3
Community Peer Score
0.2
Opened:Jun 18, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2026