3 comments
122 forecasters
Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?
90%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 20, 2025
Closes:Nov 4, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Nov 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 20, 2025
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Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?
20% chance
51
Will Omar Fateh be elected mayor of Minneapolis, Minnesota in 2025?
50% chance
51
Will Emerson Mnangagwa be president of Zimbabwe on January 1st, 2029?
20% chance
6