180 forecasters

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

0.7%chance

0.7%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 26, 2025

Closes:

Sep 1, 2025

Resolved:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 27, 2025

Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

Iran-Israel Conflict

Current Events⚡

🏆 2025 Leaderboard

Iran has likely carried out an undeclared missile test, satellite photos show

NBC•Sep 25, 2025

Iran has likely carried out an undeclared missile test, satellite photos analyzed by the AP show

Associated Press•Sep 25, 2025

Iran rules out direct nuclear talks with Trump as Iranian president condemns U.S. and Israeli attacks

NBC•Sep 25, 2025

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